{"id":7083,"date":"2025-12-29T15:36:43","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T18:36:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/impactocastex.com.ar\/?p=7083"},"modified":"2025-12-29T15:36:43","modified_gmt":"2025-12-29T18:36:43","slug":"descompensacion-los-expertos-anticipan-cuando-volvera-a-llover-en-un-momento-agricola-clave","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/impactocastex.com.ar\/?p=7083","title":{"rendered":"\u201cDescompensaci\u00f3n\u201d: los expertos anticipan cu\u00e1ndo volver\u00e1 a llover en un momento agr\u00edcola clave"},"content":{"rendered":"

Con el trigo<\/b> en su tramo final de la cosecha y con los cultivos de soja<\/b> y de ma\u00edz <\/b>en pleno desarrollo, el clima vuelve a ser protagonista<\/b>. En medio de las altas temperaturas que se registran en el pa\u00eds, especialistas consultados indicaron que, al menos hasta el pr\u00f3ximo fin de semana,<\/b> no habr\u00e1 lluvias<\/b> en la regi\u00f3n pampeana. En tanto, hacia mediados de enero se registrar\u00eda un evento de precipitaciones m\u00e1s importante. <\/b>Seg\u00fan los expertos, el corto plazo seguir\u00e1 siendo exigente para los cultivos<\/b>, pero no ser\u00eda un escenario dominado por La Ni\u00f1a,<\/b> sino m\u00e1s bien faltantes temporarios que empezar\u00edan a revertirse<\/b> en la medida que avance el verano.<\/p>\n

El climat\u00f3logo Leonardo De Benedictis<\/b> explic\u00f3: \u201cAhora tenemos por delante entre cinco y siete d\u00edas sin lluvias. Hasta por lo menos el primer fin de semana del a\u00f1o que viene no se esperan precipitaciones. Probablemente, sobre la zona central \u2014particularmente la regi\u00f3n pampeana\u2014 no haya aportes de agua en ese per\u00edodo\u201d<\/b>.<\/p>\n

\"A\u00fan<\/p>\n

Se\u00f1al\u00f3 que, en paralelo, \u201clo que s\u00ed est\u00e1 claro es que viene una etapa de altas temperaturas y ausencia de lluvias en toda el \u00e1rea central\u201d<\/b>, mientras que la \u00fanica regi\u00f3n que todav\u00eda presenta algo de actividad es el norte, especialmente el noreste, \u201cdonde podr\u00edan darse eventos aislados y err\u00e1ticos, con precipitaciones de variada intensidad\u201d<\/b>.<\/p>\n

A su vez, advirti\u00f3 que este escenario estar\u00e1 acompa\u00f1ado por temperaturas extremas, que en algunos lugares pueden superar los 40 grados<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Escenario<\/h1>\n

Despu\u00e9s de esta etapa seca, los pron\u00f3sticos empiezan a mostrar se\u00f1ales de cambio. El climat\u00f3logo Germ\u00e1n Heinzenknecht<\/b> dijo que, tras estos d\u00edas sin lluvias, volver\u00e1n las condiciones de inestabilidad a comienzos de enero<\/b>, primero en el norte del pa\u00eds y luego en la regi\u00f3n pampeana. Anticip\u00f3: \u201cTenemos una transici\u00f3n bastante seca; de nuevo, a partir del 4 o 5 se empezar\u00e1n a armar tormentas convectivas y entre el 6 y 7 en la regi\u00f3n pampeana, bajando las temperaturas\u201d<\/b>.<\/p>\n

A la baja: la soja en el mercado internacional inici\u00f3 la semana en terreno negativo<\/a><\/p>\n

Heinzenknecht plante\u00f3 que en la primera quincena de enero podr\u00eda darse un episodio de lluvias m\u00e1s generalizado<\/b>, con la posible formaci\u00f3n de un sistema entre el 9 y el 10 que tendr\u00eda impacto principalmente sobre Santa Fe, Entre R\u00edos, el norte de Buenos Aires y parte de C\u00f3rdoba. <\/b><\/p>\n

Si ese escenario se confirma, representar\u00eda un alivio importante para la zona n\u00facleo<\/b>, mientras que el sur de la regi\u00f3n pampeana podr\u00eda seguir m\u00e1s ajustado y con tendencia a secarse.<\/p>\n

El climat\u00f3logo tambi\u00e9n repas\u00f3 c\u00f3mo se lleg\u00f3 a este escenario y describi\u00f3 lo que dej\u00f3 diciembre, con un marcado contraste entre regiones: fuertes excesos en el norte del pa\u00eds y una situaci\u00f3n mucho m\u00e1s ajustada en el centro<\/b>. Se\u00f1al\u00f3 que hubo \u201cuna descompensaci\u00f3n muy importante de las precipitaciones en todo lo que es Litoral, NEA, franja norte del pa\u00eds, en algunos lugares exageradamente sobreabundantes\u201d.<\/b> A\u00f1adi\u00f3 que Corrientes registr\u00f3 \u201cm\u00e1s de 500 mil\u00edmetros, que es r\u00e9cord hist\u00f3rico para el mes de diciembre\u201d<\/b>.<\/p>\n

\"Se<\/p>\n

En contraste, explic\u00f3 que hacia la regi\u00f3n pampeana la situaci\u00f3n se fue moderando hasta llegar a la zona n\u00facleo con \u201cniveles muy ajustados de lluvia\u201d<\/b>, aunque con reservas que permitieron sostener los cultivos hasta ahora. Destac\u00f3 que, parad\u00f3jicamente, este per\u00edodo m\u00e1s seco ayudar\u00e1 a que se retire el agua de algunas \u00e1reas que ven\u00edan anegadas<\/b>, aunque aclar\u00f3 que muchas de esas superficies igualmente ya quedaron fuera de la campa\u00f1a.<\/p>\n

Al analizar la relaci\u00f3n con La Ni\u00f1a, Heinzenknecht remarc\u00f3 que, hasta el momento, el fen\u00f3meno tuvo poca incidencia<\/b> y que los actuales faltantes no responden a un patr\u00f3n t\u00edpico. Se\u00f1al\u00f3 que \u201cla principal amenaza macroclim\u00e1tica, La Ni\u00f1a, hasta ahora ha tenido muy poca injerencia\u201d.<\/b><\/p>\n

Explic\u00f3 que se trata m\u00e1s bien de faltantes de per\u00edodos cortos de 10 o 15 d\u00edas<\/b>. Seg\u00fan su visi\u00f3n, la expectativa es que la situaci\u00f3n pueda ir mejorando durante la segunda parte de enero y hacia febrero<\/b>, aunque advirti\u00f3 que la regi\u00f3n sur agr\u00edcola \u2014especialmente La Pampa, el oeste y sudoeste bonaerense y el sudoeste de C\u00f3rdoba\u2014 seguir\u00e1 siendo la zona m\u00e1s expuesta y con mayor riesgo productivo<\/b>.<\/p>\n

\u200bLuego de un diciembre con precipitaciones desparejas y con cultivos en pleno desarrollo en medio de las altas temperaturas, reci\u00e9n el fin de semana que viene habr\u00eda un alivio\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Con el trigo en su tramo final de la cosecha y con los cultivos de…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7084,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[89],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacionales"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cDescompensaci\u00f3n\u201d: los expertos anticipan cu\u00e1ndo volver\u00e1 a llover en un momento agr\u00edcola clave -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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