{"id":18294,"date":"2026-05-17T20:06:43","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T23:06:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/impactocastex.com.ar\/?p=18294"},"modified":"2026-05-17T20:06:43","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T23:06:43","slug":"los-comicios-regionales-en-andalucia-quien-ganaria-en-espana-si-las-elecciones-generales-fueran-hoy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/impactocastex.com.ar\/?p=18294","title":{"rendered":"Los comicios regionales en Andaluc\u00eda: \u00bfQui\u00e9n ganar\u00eda en Espa\u00f1a si las elecciones generales fueran hoy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clarin.com\/img\/2026\/05\/17\/Bz55bJyPe_2000x1500__1.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\" \/><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Con los comicios de este domingo en Andaluc\u00eda, ya son cuatro las elecciones regionales en las que su partido, <strong>el PSOE, colecciona malos resultados. <\/strong>A\u00fan as\u00ed, el presidente Pedro S\u00e1nchez sostiene que no piensa adelantar las urnas a nivel nacional que, seg\u00fan el calendario electoral, est\u00e1n previstas para 2027.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u00bfC\u00f3mo llega S\u00e1nchez a las generales?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>De acuerdo al bar\u00f3metro de abril del Centro de Investigaciones Sociol\u00f3gicas (CIS), si los espa\u00f1oles hubieran votado el mes pasado, <strong>el PSOE hubiera sido el partido ganador. Hubiera obtenido el 36,4 por ciento de los sufragios.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>La principal fuerza de la oposici\u00f3n, el Partido Popular,<strong> hubiera alcanzado el 23,5 por ciento de la intenci\u00f3n de voto,<\/strong> seguido por Vox, que se hubiese quedado con el 14, 7 por ciento de las boletas.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Sumar, la coalici\u00f3n de izquierdas que gobierna Espa\u00f1a junto al PSOE como fuerza minoritaria, caer\u00eda en intenci\u00f3n de votos: <strong>del 7,1 por ciento que consigui\u00f3 en el bar\u00f3metro de marzo, caer\u00eda al 5,8 en abril.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><strong>El CIS es un organismo p\u00fablico espa\u00f1ol <\/strong>que se define como aut\u00f3nomo aunque depende del Ministerio de la Presidencia, Justicia y Relaciones con las Cortes.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Se dedica a analizar los comportamientos de la sociedad espa\u00f1ola y elabora, a trav\u00e9s de encuestas, bar\u00f3metros mensuales.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>El del mes pasado, que se public\u00f3 el 20 de abril, se\u00f1al\u00f3 que<strong>, para el 31,3 por ciento de los ciudadanos espa\u00f1oles,<\/strong> Pedro S\u00e1nchez es el l\u00edder pol\u00edtico preferido para ocupar el cargo de presidente del gobierno.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Lo siguen Alberto N\u00fa\u00f1ez Feij\u00f3o, l\u00edder del PP, <strong>con el 9,9 por ciento<\/strong> y, en tercer lugar, Santiago Abascal, al frente de Vox, elegido por el 7,4 por ciento de los encuestados.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Sin embargo, el 23 por ciento de los espa\u00f1oles consultados afirma que no elegir\u00eda a ninguno de los tres pol\u00edticos para que gobierne desde el Palacio de la Moncloa.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Cuando el CIS consult\u00f3 a la sociedad espa\u00f1ola en abril si el presidente S\u00e1nchez despierta confianza, los datos no fueron favorables para el l\u00edder del PSOE que gobierna Espa\u00f1a desde 2018.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><strong>El 41,4 por ciento de los ciudadanos no conf\u00edan en Pedro S\u00e1nchez<\/strong>. Un 20, 5 por ciento declar\u00f3 que tiene \u201cpoca\u201d confianza en \u00e9l y s\u00f3lo el 10,1 por ciento cree que inspira \u201cmucha confianza\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Estos datos se obtuvieron en base a una muestra de 4.020 entrevistas que el CIS realiz\u00f3 durante los primeros d\u00edas de abril, fecha en la que comenzaron dos juicios que <strong>tienen sentados en el banquillo a ex funcionarios de gobiernos del PP y del PSOE.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>La Audiencia Nacional est\u00e1 juzgando una trama parapolicial que, durante el gobierno de Mariano Rajoy, del PP, <strong>habr\u00eda espiado al ex tesorero del partido, Luis B\u00e1rcenas, <\/strong>para secuestrar documentos comprometedores sobre una presunta financiaci\u00f3n ilegal del PP y que el ex tesorero tendr\u00eda bien guardados.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Por otra parte, el Tribunal Supremo escuch\u00f3 las declaraciones de testigos y acusados del llamado caso Koldo, <strong>una red de posible corrupci\u00f3n<\/strong> que involucra al ex ministro de Transportes y ex secretario de organizaci\u00f3n del PSOE, Jos\u00e9 Luis Abalos; a su ex chofer y ex asesor, Koldo Garc\u00eda, y a un intermediario que se present\u00f3 como arrepentido para esquivar la prisi\u00f3n preventiva -que est\u00e1n cumpliendo los otros dos acusados- y que le apunt\u00f3 a Pedro S\u00e1nchez como el \u201cn\u00famero uno\u201d de la trama.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/blockads.fivefilters.org\/\">Adblock test<\/a><\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockads.fivefilters.org\/acceptable.html\">(Why?)<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u200b\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Con los comicios de este domingo en Andaluc\u00eda, ya son cuatro las elecciones regionales en&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18295,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-internacionales"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Los comicios regionales en Andaluc\u00eda: \u00bfQui\u00e9n ganar\u00eda en Espa\u00f1a si las elecciones generales fueran hoy? -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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