{"id":16873,"date":"2026-04-30T11:18:53","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T14:18:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/impactocastex.com.ar\/?p=16873"},"modified":"2026-04-30T11:18:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T14:18:53","slug":"prat-gay-volvio-a-cuestionar-el-programa-de-milei-estamos-en-mitad-del-rio-y-no-hay-ninguna-garantia-de-que-termine-bien","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/impactocastex.com.ar\/?p=16873","title":{"rendered":"Prat-Gay volvi\u00f3 a cuestionar el programa de Milei: \u201cEstamos en mitad del r\u00edo y no hay ninguna garant\u00eda de que termine bien\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alfonso Prat-Gay volvi\u00f3 a ser duro con el gobierno de Javier Milei. El exministro de Econom\u00eda habl\u00f3 en ExpoEFI y traz\u00f3 un diagn\u00f3stico opuesto al optimismo del equipo econ\u00f3mico. Dijo que hay un programa sin garant\u00edas de \u00e9xito<\/b>, sin plan financiero expl\u00edcito, sin crecimiento suficiente y con el ancla fiscal cada vez m\u00e1s amenazada por la ca\u00edda de la recaudaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

\u201cEstamos en mitad del r\u00edo en un proceso de cambio muy fuerte, que esperemos que termine bien, pero no hay ninguna garant\u00eda de que termine bien<\/mark>\u201d, dijo el exfuncionario, quien durante el gobierno de Mauricio Macri fue jefe del actual ministro de Econom\u00eda, Luis Caputo, y del presidente del Banco Central, Santiago Bausili.<\/p>\n

Para Prat-Gay, el principal d\u00e9ficit del programa es el crecimiento. <\/b>Y lo plante\u00f3 como una necesidad que opera en varios frentes a la vez. El primero es pol\u00edtico: sin mejoras en la calidad de vida, el capital de apoyo social se erosiona. \u201cNo se le puede pedir a la gente sacrificio toda la vida. Tiene que haber mejoras en la calidad de vida, <\/b>es lo que est\u00e1 haciendo clic ahora cuando uno ve las encuestas\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3. Y fue m\u00e1s directo: \u201cSi la reacci\u00f3n del Gobierno ante ese aparente cambio de humor es seguir insultando, no est\u00e1 tomando nota.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"El<\/p>\n

El segundo frente es fiscal. Prat-Gay advirti\u00f3 que la ca\u00edda de la recaudaci\u00f3n \u2014consecuencia directa de un crecimiento insuficiente\u2014 amenaza el ancla que el propio Gobierno considera intocable. \u201cLa manta sagrada del Gobierno es el ancla fiscal, pero est\u00e1 amenazada con menor recaudaci\u00f3n<\/b>. Si el Gobierno la mantiene, tiene que bajar el gasto, y eso repercute en las perspectivas de crecimiento\u201d. El c\u00edrculo, seg\u00fan describi\u00f3, se cierra sobre s\u00ed mismo.<\/p>\n

El tercero es monetario. Sin crecimiento no hay demanda de dinero, sin demanda de dinero no hay remonetizaci\u00f3n, y sin remonetizaci\u00f3n el programa no puede consolidarse<\/b>, dijo en l\u00ednea con lo que ya hab\u00eda dicho semanas atr\u00e1s en el Rotary Club<\/a>.<\/p>\n

La paradoja del acceso al mercado<\/h1>\n

Prat-Gay volvi\u00f3 a se\u00f1alar lo que considera la principal contradicci\u00f3n del momento: un gobierno con altas credenciales en t\u00e9rminos de ajuste fiscal que, sin embargo, no logra acceder al mercado internacional<\/b> de deuda ni reducir el riesgo pa\u00eds a los niveles que su propio discurso promet\u00eda.<\/p>\n

\"Prat-Gay<\/p>\n

\u201cEl inversor externo mira eso y no est\u00e1 tan seguro de invertir si no le explican c\u00f3mo van refinanciando y renovando la deuda\u201d, dijo. Y diagnostic\u00f3: \u201cEl Gobierno tiene un programa econ\u00f3mico que no tiene un plan financiero\u201d<\/b>. Para el exministro, esa ausencia explica en buena medida por qu\u00e9 no se recupera la demanda de dinero y por qu\u00e9 la confianza \u2014tanto interna como externa\u2014 sigue sin cuajar del todo.<\/p>\n

Tambi\u00e9n apunt\u00f3 a un problema de foco pol\u00edtico. \u201cEl presidente Milei ayer habl\u00f3 de la teor\u00eda del pensamiento econ\u00f3mico cuando estar\u00eda bueno que se ocupe mejor de otras cosas. En vez de pelearse con quien no resuelve nada, mejor que ponga el foco en c\u00f3mo va a crecer el pa\u00eds de manera sostenida<\/b>\u201d, dijo. Y agreg\u00f3 que el crecimiento de sectores como la miner\u00eda no alcanza si los rubros m\u00e1s intensivos en mano de obra \u2014los que m\u00e1s empleo generan\u2014 siguen siendo los m\u00e1s golpeados.<\/p>\n

Sobre el futuro pol\u00edtico, Prat-Gay plante\u00f3 una pregunta que consider\u00f3 todav\u00eda sin respuesta: qu\u00e9 viene despu\u00e9s de Milei, m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de si el Presidente logra la reelecci\u00f3n. \u201cMilei es un proceso muy disruptivo que naci\u00f3 de fracasos anteriores.<\/b> La pol\u00edtica est\u00e1 muy polarizada y es el mismo Gobierno el que fomenta esa polarizaci\u00f3n hablando del \u2018riesgo kuka\u2019\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3.<\/p>\n

En ese marco, hizo una cr\u00edtica institucional: el Gobierno nunca modific\u00f3 la carta org\u00e1nica del Banco Central. \u201cDijo que iba a eliminar el BCRA y termin\u00f3 usando el mismo esquema de la carta org\u00e1nica que modific\u00f3 Cristina Kirchner.<\/b> Hoy Bausili opera bajo una carta org\u00e1nica de Cristina Kirchner\u201d, afirm\u00f3. <\/p>\n

Para Prat-Gay, volver a la carta org\u00e1nica original \u2014que garantiza mayor independencia del Central respecto del poder pol\u00edtico\u2014 ser\u00eda \u201cun paso inmenso a la institucionalidad\u201d. Y record\u00f3 c\u00f3mo concibe ese v\u00ednculo: \u201cCrec\u00ed en un esquema donde el ministro y el presidente del BCRA se pelean, porque son tareas totalmente diferentes\u201d.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u200bEl exjefe de Caputo y Bausili advirti\u00f3 que la ca\u00edda de la recaudaci\u00f3n amenaza el equilibrio fiscal y que sin crecimiento el el plan no puede consolidarse; tambi\u00e9n record\u00f3 que el Gobierno nunca modific\u00f3 la carta org\u00e1nica del Banco Central\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alfonso Prat-Gay volvi\u00f3 a ser duro con el gobierno de Javier Milei. El exministro de…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[89],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacionales"],"yoast_head":"\nPrat-Gay volvi\u00f3 a cuestionar el programa de Milei: \u201cEstamos en mitad del r\u00edo y no hay ninguna garant\u00eda de que termine bien\u201d -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/impactocastex.com.ar\/?p=16873\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Prat-Gay volvi\u00f3 a cuestionar el programa de Milei: \u201cEstamos en mitad del r\u00edo y no hay ninguna garant\u00eda de que termine bien\u201d -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alfonso Prat-Gay volvi\u00f3 a ser duro con el gobierno de Javier Milei. 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